In August 2014, the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) released the sixth iteration of the Energy Savings Forecast of Solid-State Lighting in General Illumination Applications. The study provides predictions on light-emitting diodes (LED) market penetrations and energy savings compared to conventional lighting. The DOE forecasts LED lighting will represent 84% of all sales by lumen-hours in 2030 (compared to 3% in 2013) and reduce energy consumption in the lighting sector by 40% compared to a “no-LED” scenario.
LED cost and quality of light continues to improve such that LEDs are projected to be the overwhelming choice for lighting. The rapid adoption of LED lighting and other efficient technologies (e.g., appliances) will continue to contribute significantly to the long-term decrease in U.S. load growth.
DOE: Report Summary
DOE: Full Report
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